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Thirty more people have tested positive for COVID-19 in Nova Scotia, bringing the total to 579. Eleven people are currently hospitalized, four of whom are in ICUs; 176 people have fully recovered. Three people have died.

There’s a bit of good news today. Because of the high number of newly recovered people (39 yesterday), the number of “active” COVID cases in Nova Scotia has for the first time gone down, from 409 to 400.[1]”Active” cases = total positive test results – resolved cases (deaths + recoveries)

Active cases by date


And because the recovered numbers are increasing and we haven’t had a death recently (any are too many, but we’ve had “just” three), the fatality rate is going down as well, to 1.7%.

Fatality rate of COVID-19 in Nova Scotia[2]of cases with resolution — that is, people have either recovered or died, so does not include those who are still sick


Here’s a graph of new known cases by date. The through line is still heading up, but not terribly so.

New known cases by date:


And this comes as there’s a sustained number of tests with confirmed results, to 1,064 yesterday.

Number of tests by date[3]Total tests of Nova Scotians with confirmed positive or negative results; these figure do not include tests with indeterminate results or tests from other jurisdictions analyzed in Nova Scotia.


Even with the increased testing, and even with the high number of positive cases from nursing homes, the percentage of positive cases (in relation to tests completed with confirmed results) continues to be low — just 2.8% yesterday.

Percentage of daily tests with confirmed results that are positive:

So these are hopeful signs. Who knows? Tomorrow’s numbers could reverse all this, and there’s certainly no indication that our vigilance should be relaxed.

But a little hope is warranted, I think.


Positive cases by age range


Positive cases by gender

54% are female, 46% are male.



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References

References
1 ”Active” cases = total positive test results – resolved cases (deaths + recoveries)
2 of cases with resolution — that is, people have either recovered or died, so does not include those who are still sick
3 Total tests of Nova Scotians with confirmed positive or negative results; these figure do not include tests with indeterminate results or tests from other jurisdictions analyzed in Nova Scotia.

Tim Bousquet

Tim Bousquet is the editor and publisher of the Halifax Examiner. Twitter @Tim_Bousquet Mastodon

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