News
1. Mass Casualty Commission

Yesterday, the Mass Casualty Commission released the schedule of proceedings for the next two weeks, as follows:
Monday, July 11
Foundational document: “Violence in the Perpetrator’s Family of Origin”
Tuesday, July 12
Foundational document: “Perpetrator’s Violence Towards Others”
Witness: Brenda Forbes
Wednesday, July 13
Foundational document: “Perpetrator’s Violence Towards Common Law Spouse”
Thursday, July 14
Roundtable discussions on the psychology of perpetrators of mass casualty events and the demographics of such events
Friday, July 15
Witness: Lisa Banfield
Monday, July 18
Roundtables on intimate partner violence (IPV) and gender-based violence GBV) with regards to mass casualty events
Tuesday, July 19
Foundational document: “Perpetrator’s financial misdealings”
Wednesday, July 20
Roundtables on IPV and GBV with regards to policing
Thursday, July 21
Testimony about personal and community responses to violence
Friday, July 22
An analysis of the RCMP’s “psychological autopsy” of the killer
Because there will be no direct cross-examination of Lisa Banfield, the families of the victims are considering boycotting that testimony. In response, commission staff say Banfied has taken part in five “multi-hour” interviews with commission investigators, and transcripts of those interviews have already been given to the families. (Reporters will gain access to the transcripts Wednesday, and they will be made public Friday, July 15.) It was implied that the five interviews are very detailed and will answer many of the open questions. We’ll see, I guess. As I wrote Monday, I think the commissioners’ decision to limit Banfield’s testimony to one day and to disallow direct cross-examination is the wrong decision, but I also think Banfield has been treated unfairly.
I discussed these issues at length with Jordi Morgan on Tuesday; you can listen to our conversation here:
Beyond Banfield’s testimony, I’m especially interested in the killer’s financial misdealings and the RCMP “psychological autopsy” of the killer.
As to the former, next week complaints to the Nova Scotia Denturist Board will be entered into evidence; I don’t know what those complaints are related to, but we know the killer treated a lot of people on social assistance, and that he used that position to find people to have sex with. Despite his inheritance from Tom Evans, and (possibly) over-billing and the like, it still strikes me that the killer had more wealth than can be accounted for.
And the “psychological autopsy” sounds like a bunch of junk science to me. So far as I know, when he was alive the killer was never analyzed by a trained psychiatrist or psychologist. Maybe the RCMP has university-trained forensic psychiatrists or psychologists on staff, but much policing “science” consists of beat cops taking week-long courses that relate unproven and discredited science. And can even a university-trained professional reverse-engineer a corpse to determine a person’s mental state when alive? I’m skeptical.
This matters because there’s an underlying notion that “we” or police can somehow predict or anticipate mass murderers before they strike. I don’t know; maybe? Surely there are “red flags” that should be attended to whether or not anyone can say decisively that they will lead to a mass murder. If some kid is torturing cats, he needs help. If people are collecting illegal weapons, intervention is needed. There should be no tolerance for or looking the other way from domestic violence, even if it never spills out from the home.
But some of this discussion is borderline pre-crime language, which is worrying, as it can lead to acceptance of overreaching surveillance and profiling, and criminalizing of already marginalized groups. We may believe that instituting some sort of surveillance and reporting system might prevent the next Portapique, but invariably it will more likely be used to usher an entire generation of black and brown kids into the criminal justice system.
There’s a huge difference between the rich white guy down the road who beats his wife and has oodles of illegal weaponry and the poor black teenager who spoke back to his teacher and got in a schoolyard dustup, but as our society goes, the first will likely be ignored while the second will bring on an overbearing and never-ending law enforcement response.
2. No. 2 Construction Battalion

“The grandson of one of the members of No. 2 Construction Battalion, who is part of the National Apology Advisory Committee (NAAC), says he’s hoping for ‘a real apology’ this Saturday and that recommendations made by the committee will become a reality,” reports Matthew Byard:
Robert Downey is one of the 22 members of the NAAC, which was tasked with advising the federal government on the apology scheduled to take place in Truro. The NAAC was formed in June 2021, a few months after former Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan announced the federal government’s intent to apologize for the racist treatment experienced by the No. 2 Construction Battalion, Canada’s first and only all-Black military regiment.
Downey’s late grandfather, Private George Alexander Downey Sr., served in No. 2 Construction Battalion. Downey Sr. re-enlisted during the Second World War and was a member of the Veteran’s Guard of Canada.
“I’m hoping for a meaningful and sincere, real apology from the leader of the country, the prime minister,” Downey said in an interview with the Examiner while on his way to Nova Scotia ahead of Saturday’s apology. “That’s who we’ve asked to give the apology.”
3. COVID

Nine people died from COVID-19 in Nova Scotia during the June 28-July 4 reporting period.
Annoyingly, the weekly Epidemiologic Summary is now becoming monthly, but not until July 15, for the month of June, so I can provide no details about the age or vaccination status of the nine most recent deaths.
During the same reporting period, 21 people were hospitalized because of COVID. I also have no age or vaccination status data for them.
Nova Scotia Health reports the following hospitalized status, as of yesterday:
• Currently in hospital for COVID-19: 26 (7 of whom are in ICU)
• Currently in hospital for something else but have COVID-19: 119
• Currently in hospital who contracted COVID-19 after admission to hospital: 58
The above figures do not include hospitalizations (if any) at the IWK. With the absence of age data, I can’t guess whether any children are hospitalized with COVID.

There were additionally 1,749 lab-confirmed (PCR tests) new cases for the reporting period. This does not include people who tested positive only with the rapid take-home tests or who didn’t test at all.

Wastewater sampling of the three Halifax area sewage plants shows that after a dramatic increase in COVID levels in May, concentrations decreased but have slightly ticked up in recent weeks.
I try to tease out as much information as I can from the data provided, but that’s becoming increasingly difficult as reporting periods are changed and reports come less frequently. This seems contrary to the repeated assurance from Chief Medical Officer of Health Dr. Robert Strang that “Nova Scotians have the tools and resources to make the right decisions to keep each other safe” — if data are increasingly limited, how can people make informed decisions?
Noticed
We’re very likely watching the imminent collapse of even the pretence of democracy in the United States. Seems like people in Canada should be preparing for that. Political leaders should be analyzing potential government responses. Business leaders should be reflecting on what democratic collapse means for trade. Academics should be hosting conferences and writing papers about how to best support the disenfranchised. Civil society organizations should be ramping up solidarity efforts.
But I don’t see much of any of that happening.
Government
No meetings
On campus
Dalhousie
Weave with Sharon Kallis (Friday, 1pm, Dalhousie Art Gallery) — from the listing:
“Straddling an Island: West Coast and East Coast Intertwined” is an interactive installation featured in the exhibition Plant Kingdom. Join Kallis via the Gallery’s Zoom set up and try weaving for yourself!
In the harbour
Halifax
05:00: NYK Demeter, container ship, arrives at Fairview Cove from Antwerp, Belgium
05:30: Oceanex Sanderling, ro-ro container, arrives at Autoport from St. John’s
06:00: Contship Leo, container ship, arrives at Pier 42 from New York
10:45: Oceanex Sanderling moves to Pier 41
11:30: MSC Angela, container ship, sails from Pier 42 for sea
15:00: NYK Demeter sails for Port Everglades, Florida
15:45: AlgoNova, oil tanker, arrives at Imperial Oil from Sept-Iles, Quebec
21:00: Vivienne Sheri D, container ship, arrives at Pier 42 from Portland
Cape Breton
09:00: Majestic, yacht, transits through the causeway, en route from Halifax to Charlottetown
09:30: Bahama Spirit, bulker, arrives at Aulds Cove quarry from Charleston, South Carolina
Footnotes
I expect next week’s proceedings of the Mass Casualty Commission will consume me, so I’ve been taking it a bit easy this week. My hope is to take an honest vacation in August.
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> But I don’t see much of any of that happening.
It’s on my list. ????♂️
Tim, please keep asking more questions about the data
If an organization has data that makes them look good, they share it… but this is not what is happening
They’ve been hiding or obfuscating outbreak data since we started data collection around the pandemic. I imagine some version of what played out here played out in a bunch of other places.
https://ericlortie.medium.com/conspiracy-analysis-was-there-a-significant-covid-19-outbreak-in-nova-scotia-canada-over-a-month-db0fb5dcf9b3